Sunday, September 25, 2011

More On Student Loans - The Next Bubble

To state the obvious; this is not a black swan. I had to start a new label before   Mike Lewis writes a hilarious postmortem, 60 minutes has an exclusive, president gives another angry speech and before the ubiquity of "enlightenment"... such it goes...

Since the beginning of the recession, most types of credit have gone down. The only exception to that rule has been student loans.
A recent piece in the Atlantic noted that student debt has grown by 511 percent since 1999. At that time, only $90 billion in student loans were outstanding—by the second quarter of 2011, that balance was up to $550 billion, according to the New York Fed. And the Department of Education estimates that outstanding loans total closer to $805 billion—and that number will pass $1 trillion soon.
As student loans rise, so has delinquency. Phil Izzo at the Wall Street Journal reported that 11.2 percent of student loans were more than 90 days past due and that rate was steadily going up. “Only credit cards had a higher rate of delinquency — 12.2 percent — but those numbers have been on a steady decline for the past four quarters,” he noted.

- via Andrew

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