The exaggerated faith in small samples is only one example of a more general
illusion – we pay more attention to the content of messages than to information
about their reliability, and as a result end up with a view of the world around
us that is simpler and more coherent than the data justify. Jumping to
conclusions is a safer sport in the world of our imagination than it is in
reality.
- Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow
- Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow
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